Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 37.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	VVV-Venlo
37.92% ( 0.14)	24.14% ( -0.14)	37.94% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.96% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.46% (

0.67)

41.54% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.07% (

0.68)

63.93% (

-0.68)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

0.37)

21.93% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.79% (

0.56)

55.21% (

-0.57)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

0.3)

21.92% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

0.45)

55.19% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 37.92%

VVV-Venlo 37.94%

Draw 24.14%

Jong AZ	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.92%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.14%	1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.94%