Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.