Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.