Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.