Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
GN Bouw Stadion
De Graafschap

Dordrecht
0 - 4
De Graafschap

FT(HT: 0-2)
Korte (10'), Neghli (16'), Kaandorp (83'), Buttner (87' pen.)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Dordrecht and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dordrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-1 Almere City
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 2-0 Helmond
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
DordrechtDrawDe Graafschap
17.99% (0.102 0.1)20.54% (0.111 0.11)61.48% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.34% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (-0.336 -0.34)39.85% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (-0.348 -0.35)62.21% (0.356 0.36)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)35.62% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)72.39% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)12.49% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.52% (-0.339 -0.34)38.47% (0.345 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dordrecht 17.99%
    De Graafschap 61.48%
    Draw 20.54%
DordrechtDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 4.93% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.59% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.37% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 17.99%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.63% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.087000000000002 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.89% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.67% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.49% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 61.48%

How you voted: Dordrecht vs De Graafschap

Dordrecht
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
De Graafschap
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 7pm
De Graafschap
1-1
Dordrecht
Neghli (66')
Brittijn (29'), Buttner (55')
Schippers (5')
Wielzen (64'), van Huizen (84')
Feb 11, 2022 7pm
De Graafschap
2-2
Dordrecht
Hendriks (3', 90+6' pen.)
Donkor (67', 75')
Zehir (30'), Donkor (90'), Mannes (90+5'), N'Diaye (90+7')
Nov 19, 2021 7pm
Dordrecht
0-4
De Graafschap

Miceli (29'), Pascu (32'), van Huizen (55'), N'Diaye (88')
Van Heertum (53'), Konings (62'), Brittijn (65'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Baas (42')
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
De Graafschap
0-3
Dordrecht

Lelieveld (9'), van de Pavert (70')
van de Pavert (83')
Agrafiotis (34'), Bannis (54', 61')
Nov 14, 2020 3.30pm
Dordrecht
0-2
De Graafschap

Vliet (34'), Valpoort (50'), Surmeli (85')
Hamdaoui (10'), Seuntjens (77' pen.)
Baas (30')