De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 25
Feb 19, 2023 at 11.15am UK
De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
2 - 0
Roda JC

Hillen (28'), Fortes (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Roda JC.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-0 De Graafschap
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Roda JC

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 1-0 Roda JC
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawRoda JC
50.04% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)24.4% (0.229 0.23)25.56% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.28% (-0.529 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26% (-0.799 -0.8)47.74% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (-0.74 -0.74)69.93% (0.73700000000001 0.74)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.49000000000001 -0.49)19.11% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (-0.812 -0.81)50.73% (0.807 0.81)
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.249 -0.25)32.9% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-0.275 -0.28)69.48% (0.27 0.27)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 50.04%
    Roda JC 25.56%
    Draw 24.39%
De GraafschapDrawRoda JC
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.04%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.205 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.183 0.18)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 25.56%

Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 7pm
Roda JC
3-2
De Graafschap
Limbombe (15', 47'), Vente (23')
Korte (51'), Haen (73')
Lammers (64')
Mar 14, 2022 7pm
Roda JC
2-0
De Graafschap
Pflucke (10'), Vente (73')

Verbeek (68'), Van Heertum (89')
Aug 7, 2021 3.30pm
De Graafschap
0-3
Roda JC

Van Heertum (28'), Verbeek (67'), Lieftink (71')
Jubitana (48', 56'), Pflucke (88')
Bouchouari (32')
Jan 15, 2021 5.45pm
Roda JC
1-3
De Graafschap
Marzo (82')
Marzo (66'), Luijckx (78')
Seuntjens (5'), Konings (27'), Lieftink (45+1')
Dekker (35')
Sep 12, 2020 3.30pm
De Graafschap
4-0
Roda JC
Lieftink (19', 24'), Van Mieghem (48'), Seuntjens (61')

Luijckx (74')