Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.