KNVB Beker
De Graafschap
Mar 2, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
Ajax
  • goal Jorge Sanchez 12'
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 26'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 78'

De Graafschap vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions

Ajax

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.61%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

De Graafschap 20.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 20.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Ajax 58.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 35.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 42.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 57.92% ▼ (-0.02)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 69.55%
Under 0.5 30.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.34%
Under 1.5 66.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 87.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 62.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 37.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

De Graafschap 20.78%
Draw 20.62%
Ajax 58.61%
De Graafschap
2-1 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 20.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.62%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-2 @ 8.22%
0-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 58.61%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 33
De Graafschap
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Stadion De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)
Ajax
  • Youssef El Jebli 40' goal
  • Azor Matusiwa 66' yellowcard
  • goal Lasse Schone 37'
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 44'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 67'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Ajax
Dec 16, 2018 1.30pm
8
0
HT : 3 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA (Amsterdam)
De Graafschap
  • Dusan Tadic 18' goal
  • Noussair Mazraoui 25' goal
  • Hakim Ziyech 32' goal
  • Hakim Ziyech 62' goal
  • Daley Blind 65' goal
  • Hakim Ziyech 69' goal
  • Daley Blind 74' goal
  • Daley Blind 90' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Serrarens 67'
Eredivisie
De Graafschap
May 8, 2016 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • Bryan Smeets 55' goal
  • Bart Straalman 77' yellowcard
  • Karim Tarfi 90' yellowcard
  • goal Amin Younes 17'
Eredivisie
Ajax
Dec 20, 2015 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
De Graafschap
  • Arkadiusz Milik 27' goal
  • Riechedly Bazoer 70' goal
  • Riechedly Bazoer 84' yellowcard
  • goal Kristopher Vida 38'
  • yellowcard Jeroen Tesselaar 47'
  • yellowcard Kristopher Vida 49'

Form Data

FC Eindhoven 0 - 4 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 2 - 0 Roda JC
NAC Breda 2 - 0 De Graafschap
De Graafschap 3 - 0 De Treffers
De Graafschap 0 - 1 Telstar
Jong Utrecht 1 - 1 De Graafschap
Vitesse 1 - 2 Ajax
Union Berlin 3 - 1 Ajax
Ajax 4 - 0 Sparta
Ajax 0 - 0 Union Berlin
Ajax 3 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
FC Twente 0 - 1 Ajax