/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fspalog.png)
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Dusan Tadic
6'
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Kenneth Taylor
27'
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Dusan Tadic
64'
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Mohammed Kudus
84'
Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F03%2Fajax.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 81.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 6.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
81.88%
▼
(-0.77)
Draw
11.6%
▲
(+0.48)
Sparta Rotterdam
6.52%
▲
(+0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
51.02%
▼
(-0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.67%
▼
(-1.30)
Under 2.5
27.34%
▲
(+1.31)
Over 3.5
52.09%
▼
(-1.65)
Under 3.5
47.91%
▲
(+1.66)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
95.04%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
4.97%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
80.13%
▼
(-1.10)
Under 1.5
19.87%
▲
(+1.11)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5
53.69%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
46.31%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
18.04%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
81.96%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
Ajax
81.87%
Draw
11.6%
Sparta Rotterdam
6.52%
Ajax
3-0
@
10.37%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.20)
4-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.15)
1-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.38)
4-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.16)
5-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.21)
5-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.17)
4-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.08)
6-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.15)
5-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.09)
7-0 @ 1% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 81.87%
2-0 @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.20)
4-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.15)
1-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.38)
4-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.16)
5-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.21)
5-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.17)
4-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.08)
6-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.15)
5-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.09)
7-0 @ 1% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 81.87%
Draw
1-1
@
5.31%
▲
(+0.26)
2-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 11.6%
2-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 11.6%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-2
@
2.05%
▲
(+0.09)
0-1 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 6.52%
0-1 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 6.52%
Nicolas Tagliafico
27'