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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FC Twente logo

Ajax
0 - 0
FC Twente


Tadic (55')
Rensch (35')
FT

Sampsted (13'), van Wolfswinkel (45+6'), Zerrouki (61'), Tzolis (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, January 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Emmen
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 FC Twente

Ajax put five goals past Twente in this fixture last season, but Twente have conceded the fewest goals in the division so far this term with nine, while also keeping the most clean sheets, suggesting that they will be hard to break down this weekend. However, the hosts have have scored the most goals in the league, so we think they will have the firepower to edge this encounter and claim all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.26%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 18.84% and a draw had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (4.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Twente
63.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 17.89% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 18.84% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 68.35% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.33% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.65% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)45.34% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.15% (0.0040000000000049 0)7.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.18% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.81% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)25.83% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)60.79% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 63.26%
    FC Twente 18.84%
    Draw 17.89%
AjaxDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 3.25%
5-1 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.65%
4-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 63.26%
1-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 17.89%
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 18.84%

How you voted: Ajax vs FC Twente

Ajax
78.0%
Draw
12.2%
FC Twente
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
Aug 22, 2021 11.15am
FC Twente
1-1
Ajax
Propper (86')
Menig (10')
Haller (51')
Klaassen (17'), Haller (55')
Jan 14, 2021 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
Ajax
Pleguezuelo (84')
Rots (81')
Haller (7'), Huntelaar (90', 90+1')
Dec 5, 2020 7pm
Ajax
1-2
FC Twente
Tadic (58' pen.)
Gravenberch (83')
Menig (22', 84')
Mar 15, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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