Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Jan 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Ajax

Dimata (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Klaassen (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 6-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, November 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 5-4 Volendam
Wednesday, December 7 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	Ajax
13.25% ( 1.63)	15.64% ( 1.27)	71.1% ( -2.9)

Both teams to score 63.59% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.44% (

-2.24)

25.56% (

2.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.35% (

-2.95)

45.65% (

2.96)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.96% (

0.61)

32.04% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49% (

0.68)

68.5% (

-0.68)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.57% (

-0.99)

6.42% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.95% (

-2.81)

24.05% (

2.82)

Score Analysis

NEC 13.25%

Ajax 71.1%

Draw 15.64%

NEC	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.63% Total : 13.25%	1-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.64%	1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.49) 1-4 @ 5.54% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 4.87% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 3.04% ( -0.43) 0-5 @ 2.68% ( -0.43) 2-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.21) 1-6 @ 1.39% ( -0.29) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.28) 3-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.27% Total : 71.1%