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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
13.25% ( 1.63) | 15.64% ( 1.27) | 71.1% ( -2.9) |
Both teams to score 63.59% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.44% ( -2.24) | 25.56% ( 2.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.35% ( -2.95) | 45.65% ( 2.96) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.96% ( 0.61) | 32.04% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.49% ( 0.68) | 68.5% ( -0.68) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.57% ( -0.99) | 6.42% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.95% ( -2.81) | 24.05% ( 2.82) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.63% Total : 13.25% | 1-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.64% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.49) 1-4 @ 5.54% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 4.87% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 3.04% ( -0.43) 0-5 @ 2.68% ( -0.43) 2-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.21) 1-6 @ 1.39% ( -0.29) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.28) 3-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.27% Total : 71.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |