/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
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Landry Dimata
52'
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Davy Klaassen
38'
NEC vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F44%2Falfred-schreuder.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result
NEC
13.25%
▲
(+1.63)
Draw
15.64%
▲
(+1.28)
Ajax
71.1%
▼
(-2.90)
Both Teams to Score:
63.59%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
74.44%
▼
(-2.24)
Under 2.5
25.56%
▲
(+2.25)
Over 3.5
54.35%
▼
(-2.96)
Under 3.5
45.65%
▲
(+2.96)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
67.96%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 0.5
32.04%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 1.5
31.49%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 1.5
68.5%
▼
(-0.68)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
93.57%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 0.5
6.42%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 1.5
75.95%
▼
(-2.82)
Under 1.5
24.05%
▲
(+2.82)
Score analysis
NEC
13.25%
Draw
15.64%
Ajax
71.1%
NEC
2-1
@
3.66%
▲
(+0.43)
1-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.36)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 13.25%
1-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.36)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 13.25%
Draw
1-1
@
6.43%
▲
(+0.66)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.31)
0-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 15.64%
2-2 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.31)
0-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 15.64%
Ajax
1-2
@
8.83%
▲
(+0.41)
1-3 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.24)
0-3 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.21)
0-1 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.49)
1-4 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.42)
0-4 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.45)
2-3 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.19)
1-5 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.43)
0-5 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.43)
2-5 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.22)
1-6 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.30)
0-6 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.29)
3-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 71.1%
1-3 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.24)
0-3 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.21)
0-1 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.49)
1-4 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.42)
0-4 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.45)
2-3 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.19)
1-5 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.43)
0-5 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.43)
2-5 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.22)
1-6 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.30)
0-6 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.29)
3-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 71.1%
