MX23RW : Friday, May 3 15:26:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Goffertstadion
Ajax

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Ajax

Dimata (52')
Marquez (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Klaassen (38')
Sanchez (50'), Rensch (58'), Conceicao (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 6-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, November 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 5-4 Volendam
Wednesday, December 7 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: NEC 1-3 Ajax

Ajax have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a victory for them. We are tipping the visitors to cruise to a relatively comfortable triumph at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawAjax
13.25% (1.629 1.63) 15.64% (1.273 1.27) 71.1% (-2.897 -2.9)
Both teams to score 63.59% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.44% (-2.237 -2.24)25.56% (2.242 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.35% (-2.954 -2.95)45.65% (2.959 2.96)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.60599999999999 0.61)32.04% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (0.682 0.68)68.5% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.992 -0.99)6.42% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.95% (-2.81 -2.81)24.05% (2.816 2.82)
Score Analysis
    NEC 13.25%
    Ajax 71.1%
    Draw 15.64%
NECDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.66% (0.424 0.42)
1-0 @ 2.34% (0.359 0.36)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.39% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 1.33% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 13.25%
1-1 @ 6.43% (0.651 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 2.06% (0.286 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 15.64%
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.408 0.41)
1-3 @ 8.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.235 0.24)
0-3 @ 7.1% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.488 0.49)
1-4 @ 5.54% (-0.413 -0.41)
0-4 @ 4.87% (-0.449 -0.45)
2-3 @ 4.6% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.16% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-5 @ 3.04% (-0.428 -0.43)
0-5 @ 2.68% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-5 @ 1.73% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-6 @ 1.39% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-6 @ 1.22% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-4 @ 1.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 71.1%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Ajax

NEC
4.8%
Draw
11.9%
Ajax
83.3%
42
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Nijmegen
0-1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')
Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), Van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')
Apr 8, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-5
Ajax
Kadioglu (54')
Breinburg (5' og.), Neres (8'), Traore (32', 60'), Ziyech (78')
van de Beek (72')
Nov 20, 2016 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Dolberg (19', 24', 37'), Traore (55'), Schone (57')

von Haacke (37'), Golla (39'), Dyrestam (52')
Mar 13, 2016 3.45pm
Ajax
2-2
Nijmegen
Milik (16'), Van Eijden (51' og.)
Foor (19'), Grot (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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