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NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 13, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Goffertstadion
Waalwijk logo

Nijmegen
6 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
van den Buijs (4' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 Nijmegen
Friday, November 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 AZ
Sunday, November 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
54.14% (-0.241 -0.24)22.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)23.31% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 57.92% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25% (0.197 0.2)41.75% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.84% (0.199 0.2)64.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)15.39% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.304 0.3)31.55% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (0.35 0.35)67.94% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    NEC 54.14%
    RKC Waalwijk 23.31%
    Draw 22.55%
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.14%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 23.31%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs RKC Waalwijk

NEC
46.9%
Draw
34.4%
RKC Waalwijk
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
May 14, 2019 5.30pm
RKC Waalwijk
3-0
Nijmegen
Seys (41'), Spierings (62'), Bilate (70')
Tahiri (63')

Dijkstra (65'), Okita (85')
May 10, 2019 5.30pm
Nijmegen
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tresor Ndayishimiye (12'), Bruijn (16')
Bossaerts (21'), Wolters (67')

Walian (87'), Spierings (91')
Apr 22, 2019 1.30pm
Nijmegen
2-1
RKC Waalwijk
Druijf (48'), Okita (72')
Wolters (44'), Bossaerts (52')
Spierings (32')
Meulensteen (15')
rhs 2.0


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