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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 68.1% ( | 18.42% ( | 13.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( | 39.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.58% ( | 61.42% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.5% ( | 10.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.83% ( | 34.17% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.1% ( | 40.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.53% ( | 77.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 3-0 @ 8.19% ( 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 4-0 @ 4.62% ( 4-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.08% ( 5-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 4.44% Total : 68.1% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.42% | 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 1-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 13.48% |