Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
1 - 1
FC Twente

Odgaard (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ugalde (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-1 AZ
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Feyenoord	5	9	13
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	7	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	16	12

FC Twente

Last Six:

Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 PSV
Saturday, September 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	16	12
5	FC Twente	5	8	12
6	Heerenveen	6	0	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a FC Twente win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
62.01% ( 0.37)	20.85% ( -0.18)	17.14% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 53.5% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25% (

0.51)

42.75% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85% (

0.5)

65.15% (

-0.5)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.76% (

0.27)

13.24% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.99% (

0.55)

40% (

-0.54)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

0.09)

38.33% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

0.09)

75.09% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 62.01%

FC Twente 17.14%

Draw 20.85%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
2-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 62.01%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.85%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.14%