/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
-
Jens Odgaard
54'
-
Manfred Ugalde
81'
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F10%2Fpascal-jansen.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a FC Twente win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
62.01%
▲
(+0.37)
Draw
20.85%
▼
(-0.19)
FC Twente
17.14%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
53.5%
▲
(+0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.25%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 2.5
42.75%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 3.5
34.85%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 3.5
65.15%
▼
(-0.50)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
86.76%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 0.5
13.24%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
59.99%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 1.5
40%
▼
(-0.55)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
61.67%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
38.33%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
24.91%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
75.09%
▼
(-0.09)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
62.01%
Draw
20.85%
FC Twente
17.14%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0
@
10.37%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 62.01%
1-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 62.01%
Draw
1-1
@
9.84%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.85%
0-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.85%
FC Twente
0-1
@
4.87%
▼
(-0.10)
1-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 17.14%
1-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 17.14%
