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Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
AZ Alkmaar

Gil Vicente
1 - 2
AZ

Boselli (86')
Medina (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evjen (60'), Reijnders (64')
Beukema (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Gil Vicente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

Last Six:
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Famalicao
Monday, August 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:
Last Game: AZ 4-0 Gil Vicente
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
42.01% (0.112 0.11)25.17% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)32.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.37% (0.278 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (0.366 0.37)47.11% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (0.341 0.34)69.35% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (0.214 0.21)22.36% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (0.32 0.32)55.85% (-0.321 -0.32)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (0.15899999999999 0.16)27.39% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (0.207 0.21)62.86% (-0.207 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 42.01%
    AZ Alkmaar 32.82%
    Draw 25.17%
Gil VicenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.82%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs AZ

Gil Vicente
8.8%
Draw
12.3%
AZ Alkmaar
78.9%
57
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 8pm
AZ
4-0
Gil Vicente
De Wit (24'), Lahdo (78'), Pavlidis (85'), De Wit (89')
Milos (43'), Beukema (43'), de Wit (74'), Pavlidis (75')

Gomes (43'), Aburjania (57'), Boselli (90')