| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Pacos de Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Pacos de Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Portimonense | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 59.32% ( | 24.12% ( | 16.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( | 56.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( | 77.66% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( | 18.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.53% ( | 50.47% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.62% ( | 47.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.23% ( | 82.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 14.93% ( 2-0 @ 12.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-2 @ 3.47% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 1-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 16.56% |