Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.