Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Gil Vicente logo

Riga FC
1 - 1
Gil Vicente

Aurelio (17')
Vakulko (45'), Ramos (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boselli (63')
Gomes (65'), Veiga (75')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Riga FC and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Riga FC 2-1 Ruzomberok
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Riga FCDrawGil Vicente
36.13% (0.056999999999995 0.06)24.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)39.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 61.24% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.87% (-0.064 -0.06)41.12% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.48% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)63.52% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Riga FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)20.82% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)53.49% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Riga FC 36.13%
    Gil Vicente 39.83%
    Draw 24.03%
Riga FCDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 39.83%

How you voted: Riga FC vs Gil Vicente

Riga FC
50.0%
Draw
26.9%
Gil Vicente
23.1%
26