Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for MFK Ruzomberok had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest MFK Ruzomberok win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.