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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Derry City
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Derry
0 - 2
Riga FC


McEleney (36'), Patching (66'), (68')
Smith (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramos (41'), Filippov (68')
Aurelio (30'), Cernomordijs (52'), Muzinga (65'), Vakulko (79')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Derry City and Riga FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

Last Six:
Last Game: Bohemians 2-3 Derry
Friday, July 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Riga FC

Last Six:
    Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Riga FC
    Thursday, August 26 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

    Result
    Derry CityDrawRiga FC
    48.19% (0.052 0.05) 24.53% (-0.02 -0.02) 27.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
    Both teams to score 55.37% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    52.98% (0.068000000000005 0.07)47.02% (-0.067 -0.07)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    30.74% (0.062999999999999 0.06)69.26% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
    Derry City Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    80.43% (0.049999999999997 0.05)19.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    48.5% (0.080000000000005 0.08)51.5% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
    Riga FC Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    68.84% (0.01100000000001 0.01)31.16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    32.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Score Analysis
        Derry City 48.19%
        Riga FC 27.28%
        Draw 24.53%
    Derry CityDrawRiga FC
    1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.46% (0.004999999999999 0)
    2-0 @ 8.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    3-1 @ 5.14% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
    3-0 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
    3-2 @ 3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
    4-1 @ 2.1% (0.008 0.01)
    4-0 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
    Other @ 3%
    Total : 48.19%
    		1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
    2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Other @ 0.15%
    Total : 24.53%
    		0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
    1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
    1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
    Other @ 2.88%
    Total : 27.28%

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