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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Derry City

Riga FC
2 - 0
Derry

Ramos (33', 76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Riga FC and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Riga FC

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Derry 0-2 Riga FC
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Derry City

Last Six:
Last Game: Derry 0-2 Riga FC
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.

Result
Riga FCDrawDerry City
37.05% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)27.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)35.51% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.52% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (0.097999999999999 0.1)56.11% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (0.080000000000002 0.08)77.18% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Riga FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.025999999999996 0.03)29.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.1% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.087999999999994 0.09)30.1% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.108 0.11)66.24% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Riga FC 37.04%
    Derry City 35.51%
    Draw 27.43%
Riga FCDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.04%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.51%

How you voted: Riga FC vs Derry

Riga FC
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Derry City
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
0-2
Riga FC

McEleney (36'), Patching (66'), (68')
Smith (66')
Ramos (41'), Filippov (68')
Aurelio (30'), Cernomordijs (52'), Muzinga (65'), Vakulko (79')
rhs 2.0


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