Riga FC vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.