Bohemain FC
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Dalymount Park
Derry City

Bohemians
2 - 3
Derry

Coote (58'), Devoy (85')
Murphy (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomson (41'), Smith (60'), Devoy (75' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Bohemians and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bohemians

Last Six:
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Bohemians
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

Last Six:
Last Game: UCD 0-1 Derry
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
BohemiansDrawDerry City
34.79% (-0.229 -0.23)28.73% (-0.646 -0.65)36.48% (0.877 0.88)
Both teams to score 45.62% (1.799 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (2.184 2.18)60.91% (-2.183 -2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.08% (1.608 1.61)80.92% (-1.606 -1.61)
Bohemians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.98999999999999 0.99)33% (-0.988 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (1.083 1.08)69.59% (-1.081 -1.08)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09% (1.703 1.7)31.91% (-1.702 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64% (1.9 1.9)68.35% (-1.898 -1.9)
Score Analysis
    Bohemians 34.79%
    Derry City 36.47%
    Draw 28.72%
BohemiansDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 11.67% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.79%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 10.52% (-0.9 -0.9)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.268 0.27)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 12.02% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.289 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.237 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Bohemians vs Derry

Bohemians
29.0%
Draw
19.4%
Derry City
51.6%
31
Head to Head
May 6, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
1-1
Bohemians
Patching (35' pen.)
Smith (61'), Boyce (66'), (83'), (85')
Omochere (15')
Omochere (21'), (30')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Bohemians
1-2
Derry
Burt (26')
Feely (61'), (82')
Boyce (59'), Akintunde (90+3')
Dummigan (37'), Thomson (45')
Oct 29, 2021 7.45pm
Derry
1-1
Bohemians
Boyce (90+3')
(59')
Omochere (49')
Wilson (70'), (89'), (90+1')
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bohemians
3-3
Derry
Burt (7'), Kelly (80', 90+6')
Cornwall (75'), Feely (90+4')
McGonigle (62'), Ogedi-Uzokwe (76'), Akintunde (90+1')
Ogedi-Uzokwe (66'), McLaughlin (79'), Cole (85')
Jun 11, 2021 7.45pm
Derry
1-1
Bohemians
Walsh (90+4')
Fitzgerald (69')
Coote (84')
Coote (71'), Breslin (87'), (90')