League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21

Jun 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

UCD
0 - 1
Derry

Caffrey (20')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Patching (53' pen.)
McGonigle (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.53%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derry City.

Result
University College Dublin	Draw	Derry City
12.71% ( -0.01)	20.99% ( 0.09)	66.3% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 42.46% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1% (

-0.38)

51.89% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35% (

-0.33)

73.64% (

0.33)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.87% (

-0.25)

50.13% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.25% (

-0.18)

84.75% (

0.18)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.15% (

-0.15)

14.85% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.83% (

-0.29)

43.16% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

University College Dublin 12.71%

Derry City 66.28%

Draw 20.99%

University College Dublin	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.71%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.99%	0-1 @ 14.19% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 13.53% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 66.28%