Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Ruzomberok win with a probability of 45%. A win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MFK Ruzomberok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Kauno Zalgiris win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MFK Ruzomberok would win this match.