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Gil Vicente logo
Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente
4 - 0
Riga FC
Muzinga (16' og.), Medina (22'), Navarro (45+1', 76' pen.)
Carraca (40'), Carvalho (47'), Veiga (60')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Dulanto (22'), Kendysh (47'), Muzinga (87'), Vakulko (89')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Gil Vicente and Riga FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Riga FC 1-1 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Riga FC 2-1 Gil Vicente

While Gil Vicente will be looking to kick off their campaign on a high, they face a spirited Riga FC side who have won each of their four games in the qualifiers. The Latvian side head into Thursday on a run of seven wins from their last nine home games and we are backing them to maintain this fine record by claiming a vital first-leg victory against the Portuguese outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawRiga FC
38.89%25.88%35.23%
Both teams to score 54.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.75%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88%25.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.81%
Riga FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41%62.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 38.89%
    Riga FC 35.23%
    Draw 25.87%
Gil VicenteDrawRiga FC
1-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.23%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Riga FC

Gil Vicente
82.4%
Draw
8.8%
Riga FC
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2022 6pm
Riga FC
1-1
Gil Vicente
Aurelio (17')
Vakulko (45'), Ramos (67')
Boselli (63')
Gomes (65'), Veiga (75')
rhs 2.0
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