Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Riga FC
38.89%	25.88%	35.23%

Both teams to score 54.53% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25% (

-0)

49.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.25% (

-0)

71.75%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88%

25.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

-0)

59.81%

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

-0)

27.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41%

62.58% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 38.89%

Riga FC 35.23%

Draw 25.87%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Riga FC
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.89%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.23%