Eredivisie | Gameweek 2

Aug 14, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
2 - 3
AZ

van Crooij (1', 59')
Verschueren (36'), van Crooij (38'), Steijn (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pavlidis (45+1' pen.), de Wit (57'), Milos (65')
Martins Indi (38'), de Wit (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-0 Sparta
Friday, August 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Groningen	1	0	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1
13	Cambuur	2	-2	1

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 7-0 Dundee Utd
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Feyenoord	2	3	4
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	2	3
5	Ajax	1	1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
19.12% ( 0.01)	22.75% ( 0.01)	58.13% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.05% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.11% (

-0.02)

47.89% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.93% (

-0.02)

70.07% (

0.02)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.9% (

-0.01)

39.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.18% (

-0)

75.81% (

-0)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.82% (

-0.02)

16.18% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.35% (

-0.03)

45.65% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 19.12%

AZ Alkmaar 58.12%

Draw 22.75%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.12%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.75%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 58.12%