/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fspalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
-
Vito van Crooij
1'
-
Arno Verschueren
36'
-
Vito van Crooij
38'
-
Vito van Crooij
59'
-
Maurice Steijn
90'+1'
-
Bruno Martins Indi
38'
-
Dani de Wit
38'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
45'+1'
-
Dani de Wit
57'
-
Kerkez Milos
65'
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F10%2Fpascal-jansen.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 19.12%
0-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.75%
0-2 @ 10.49%
1-2 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 58.12%
Marco Bizot
85'