Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.