Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.