Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

JenS Vesting

Emmen
0 - 3
AZ

FT(HT: 0-3)

Odgaard (21'), de Wit (27'), Reijnders (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Emmen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emmen

Last Six:

Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 Emmen
Saturday, August 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Cambuur	5	-4	4
13	Emmen	4	-6	4
14	FC Volendam	5	-12	4

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 1-1 NEC
Thursday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	5	8	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	10
6	Heerenveen	4	5	8

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Emmen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
31.64% ( 0.2)	25.03% ( 0.2)	43.33% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 56.41% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

-0.81)

46.87% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

-0.76)

69.12% (

0.76)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.98% (

-0.27)

28.02% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.33% (

-0.34)

63.67% (

0.34)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37% (

-0.52)

21.63% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25% (

-0.81)

54.75% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Emmen 31.64%

AZ Alkmaar 43.33%

Draw 25.02%

Emmen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.64%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.33%