Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Sep 1, 2022 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
1 - 1
NEC

Odgaard (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marquez (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 AZ
Sunday, August 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	4	7	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	4	9
6	Heerenveen	4	5	8

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 1-1 Groningen
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Groningen	4	-4	5
9	NEC	3	2	4
10	Cambuur	4	0	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 8.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.05%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC
76.46% ( 0.17)	14.73% ( -0.14)	8.82% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.67% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.24% (

0.62)

34.76% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.28% (

0.69)

56.72% (

-0.68)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.49% (

0.18)

7.51% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.06% (

0.45)

26.94% (

-0.45)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.7% (

0.38)

46.3% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.05% (

0.29)

81.95% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 76.45%

NEC 8.82%

Draw 14.73%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC
2-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 76.45%	1-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 14.73%	0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 8.82%