/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
-
Jens Odgaard
57'
-
Ivan Marquez
54'
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F10%2Fpascal-jansen.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 8.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.05%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
76.46%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
14.73%
▼
(-0.14)
NEC
8.82%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
49.67%
▲
(+0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.24%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 2.5
34.76%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 3.5
43.28%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 3.5
56.72%
▼
(-0.69)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
92.49%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
7.51%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
73.06%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 1.5
26.94%
▼
(-0.45)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
53.7%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 0.5
46.3%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 1.5
18.05%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 1.5
81.95%
▼
(-0.29)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
76.45%
Draw
14.73%
NEC
8.82%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0
@
11.65%
▼
(-0.16)
3-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9% ▼ (-0.21)
2-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.05)
6-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1% ▲ (+3.41)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 76.45%
3-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9% ▼ (-0.21)
2-1 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.05)
6-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1% ▲ (+3.41)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 76.45%
Draw
1-1
@
6.93%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 14.73%
0-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 14.73%
NEC
0-1
@
2.68%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 8.82%
1-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 8.82%
Peter Vindahl Jensen
42'
Ridgeciano Haps
60'