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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Groningen | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | NEC | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Utrecht | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Emmen | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | Groningen | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | NEC | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Groningen |
| 51.94% ( | 24.45% ( | 23.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( | 71.71% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( | 19.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.26% ( | 50.74% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( | 35.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( | 72.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.94% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 1-2 @ 6% ( 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 23.6% |