Eredivisie | Gameweek 2

Aug 14, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
6 - 1
Groningen

Bergwijn (4', 45', 57'), Antony (28'), Taylor (66'), Berghuis (88' pen.)
Tadic (30')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Ngonge (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Sittard 2-3 Ajax
Saturday, August 6 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	2	3
5	Ajax	1	1	3
6	FC Twente	1	1	3

Groningen

Last Six:

Last Game: Groningen 2-2 Volendam
Sunday, August 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	FC Volendam	1	0	1
11	Groningen	1	0	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 85.15%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 5.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 4-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Groningen
85.15% ( 0.04)	9.51% ( -0.02)	5.34% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.1% (

0.07)

20.9% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.64% (

0.1)

39.37% (

-0.1)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.64% (

0.02)

3.36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.22% (

0.06)

14.78% (

-0.05)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.84% (

0.02)

44.16% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.75% (

0.02)

80.25% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ajax 85.15%

Groningen 5.34%

Draw 9.51%

Ajax	Draw	Groningen
3-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 8.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% 6-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 7-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.67% Total : 85.15%	1-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.05% Total : 9.51%	1-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 5.34%