Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.