Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for NEC had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.