Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 73.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.