Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.