Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.