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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | NEC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 32.38% ( | 25% ( | 42.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.52% ( | 46.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( | 68.76% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( | 27.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% ( | 62.81% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( | 21.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% ( | 55.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.62% |