UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
0 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Wit (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Dnipro-1 and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: Emmen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Feyenoord	5	9	13
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	7	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	16	12

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
24.41% ( 0.01)	23% ( -0.01)	52.59% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.71% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.36% (

0.05)

42.64% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.96% (

0.05)

65.04% (

-0.06)

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

0.04)

31.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

0.05)

67.42% (

-0.05)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

0.02)

16.24% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

0.04)

45.75% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Dnipro-1 24.41%

AZ Alkmaar 52.59%

Draw 23%

Dnipro-1	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 24.41%	1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.59%