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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | RKC Waalwijk | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | RKC Waalwijk | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Cambuur |
| 49.95% ( | 23.41% ( | 26.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.49% ( | 42.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.09% ( | 64.91% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( | 17.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( | 47.38% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( | 65.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 3.99% Total : 49.95% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 26.64% |