MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 13:53:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Cambuur

Ajax
4 - 0
Cambuur

Bergwijn (35', 40'), Rensch (53'), Kudus (64')
Alvarez (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Balk (44'), Paulissen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 AZ
Sunday, August 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 4-0 Cambuur

Ajax have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large degree and it is hard to see that changing here. We expect a comfortable victory for the defending champions, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.56%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 4-0 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.79%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawCambuur
84.56% (-1.234 -1.23) 9.51% (0.74 0.74) 5.93% (0.491 0.49)
Both teams to score 59.14% (-0.953 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.35% (-1.987 -1.99)17.65% (1.984 1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.33% (-3.022 -3.02)34.67% (3.019 3.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.08% (-0.447 -0.45)2.92% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.77% (-1.607 -1.61)13.23% (1.605 1.61)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (-0.698 -0.7)39.08% (0.695 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (-0.662 -0.66)75.79% (0.658 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 84.56%
    Cambuur 5.93%
    Draw 9.51%
AjaxDrawCambuur
3-0 @ 8.39% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.211 0.21)
4-0 @ 7.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.624 0.62)
4-1 @ 6.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.47 0.47)
5-0 @ 5.24% (-0.242 -0.24)
5-1 @ 4.92% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-0 @ 4.03% (0.517 0.52)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.27% (-0.124 -0.12)
6-0 @ 3.09% (-0.293 -0.29)
6-1 @ 2.9% (-0.337 -0.34)
5-2 @ 2.31% (-0.201 -0.2)
7-0 @ 1.56% (-0.228 -0.23)
7-1 @ 1.46% (-0.247 -0.25)
6-2 @ 1.36% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 84.56%
1-1 @ 3.79% (0.423 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.14% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.51%
1-2 @ 1.78% (0.168 0.17)
0-1 @ 1.07% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 5.93%

How you voted: Ajax vs Cambuur

Ajax
77.4%
Draw
19.4%
Cambuur
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Cambuur
2-3
Ajax
Kallon (48'), Joosten (79')
Boere (19'), Maulun (59')
Tadic (3'), Haller (40'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Haller (71')
Sep 18, 2021 7pm
Ajax
9-0
Cambuur
Maduro (16'), Berghuis (19'), Mazraoui (29'), Neres (38', 84'), Tadic (60'), Daramy (64'), Haller (67'), Danilo (76')
Apr 9, 2016 6.45pm
Nov 21, 2015 6.45pm
Ajax
5-1
Cambuur
Veltman (25'), Milik (29'), Klaassen (38', 45'), Younes (61')
May 10, 2015 1.30pm
Ajax
3-0
Cambuur
Fischer (57', 62'), Schone (83')

de Ridder (21'), El Makrini (33'), Pereira (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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