Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
4 - 0
Cambuur

Bergwijn (35', 40'), Rensch (53'), Kudus (64')
Alvarez (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Balk (44'), Paulissen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	17	12
2	Ajax	4	9	12
3	Feyenoord	4	8	10

Cambuur

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 AZ
Sunday, August 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Groningen	4	-4	5
11	Cambuur	4	0	4
12	Sparta Rotterdam	4	-1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.56%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 4-0 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.79%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Cambuur
84.56% ( -1.23)	9.51% ( 0.74)	5.93% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 59.14% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.35% (

-1.99)

17.65% (

1.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

65.33% (

-3.02)

34.67% (

3.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.08% (

-0.45)

2.92% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.77% (

-1.61)

13.23% (

1.61)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.92% (

-0.7)

39.08% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.2% (

-0.66)

75.79% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Ajax 84.56%

Cambuur 5.93%

Draw 9.51%

Ajax	Draw	Cambuur
3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.62) 4-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.47) 5-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.24) 5-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.29) 6-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.34) 5-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.2) 7-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.23) 7-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.25) 6-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.19) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 5.21% Total : 84.56%	1-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.28% Total : 9.51%	1-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 5.93%