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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Cambuur

Ajax
4 - 0
Cambuur

Bergwijn (35', 40'), Rensch (53'), Kudus (64')
Alvarez (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Balk (44'), Paulissen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 AZ
Sunday, August 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 4-0 Cambuur

Ajax have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large degree and it is hard to see that changing here. We expect a comfortable victory for the defending champions, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.56%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 4-0 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.79%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawCambuur
84.56% (-1.234 -1.23) 9.51% (0.74 0.74) 5.93% (0.491 0.49)
Both teams to score 59.14% (-0.953 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.35% (-1.987 -1.99)17.65% (1.984 1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.33% (-3.022 -3.02)34.67% (3.019 3.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.08% (-0.447 -0.45)2.92% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.77% (-1.607 -1.61)13.23% (1.605 1.61)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (-0.698 -0.7)39.08% (0.695 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (-0.662 -0.66)75.79% (0.658 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 84.56%
    Cambuur 5.93%
    Draw 9.51%
AjaxDrawCambuur
3-0 @ 8.39% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.211 0.21)
4-0 @ 7.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.624 0.62)
4-1 @ 6.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.47 0.47)
5-0 @ 5.24% (-0.242 -0.24)
5-1 @ 4.92% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-0 @ 4.03% (0.517 0.52)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.27% (-0.124 -0.12)
6-0 @ 3.09% (-0.293 -0.29)
6-1 @ 2.9% (-0.337 -0.34)
5-2 @ 2.31% (-0.201 -0.2)
7-0 @ 1.56% (-0.228 -0.23)
7-1 @ 1.46% (-0.247 -0.25)
6-2 @ 1.36% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 84.56%
1-1 @ 3.79% (0.423 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.14% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.51%
1-2 @ 1.78% (0.168 0.17)
0-1 @ 1.07% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 5.93%

How you voted: Ajax vs Cambuur

Ajax
77.4%
Draw
19.4%
Cambuur
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Cambuur
2-3
Ajax
Kallon (48'), Joosten (79')
Boere (19'), Maulun (59')
Tadic (3'), Haller (40'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Haller (71')
Sep 18, 2021 7pm
Ajax
9-0
Cambuur
Maduro (16'), Berghuis (19'), Mazraoui (29'), Neres (38', 84'), Tadic (60'), Daramy (64'), Haller (67'), Danilo (76')
Apr 9, 2016 6.45pm
Nov 21, 2015 6.45pm
Ajax
5-1
Cambuur
Veltman (25'), Milik (29'), Klaassen (38', 45'), Younes (61')
May 10, 2015 1.30pm
Ajax
3-0
Cambuur
Fischer (57', 62'), Schone (83')

de Ridder (21'), El Makrini (33'), Pereira (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
12-6
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Willem II165471718-119
10Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
11Heerenveen155371628-1218
12NECNijmegen155192119216
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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