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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | RKC Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 54.34% ( | 21.73% ( | 23.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.79% ( | 37.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.58% ( | 59.42% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( | 13.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.95% ( | 41.05% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( | 28.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( | 64.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 5-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.34% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 23.93% |