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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Ajax

Utrecht
0 - 2
Ajax


Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 0-2 Ajax

While Utrecht will be looking to get their league campaign up and running, next up is the stern test of taking on the reigning champions whose last league defeat came back in February. We predict a one-sided affair at the Stadion Galgenwaard with Ajax coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
17.36% (0.683 0.68) 19.62% (0.69 0.69) 63.02% (-1.366 -1.37)
Both teams to score 58.36% (-1.073 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.39% (-2.06 -2.06)36.61% (2.065 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-2.28 -2.28)58.76% (2.286 2.29)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.505 -0.5)34.35% (0.511 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.546 -0.55)71.06% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.93600000000001 -0.94)11.1% (0.942 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.51% (-2.106 -2.11)35.49% (2.11 2.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 17.36%
    Ajax 63.02%
    Draw 19.62%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.78% (0.171 0.17)
1-0 @ 4.07% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 17.36%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.438 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.105 0.1)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.223 0.22)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.52 0.52)
1-3 @ 7.21% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.97% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 3.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-4 @ 2.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.74% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 63.02%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Ajax

FC Utrecht
9.6%
Draw
13.5%
Ajax
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
0-1
Utrecht
Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
Ajax
1-1
Utrecht
Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
Gustafson (13' pen.)
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (62'), Tadic (71' pen.), Promes (90+1')
Tadic (65')
Apr 9, 2020 6.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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