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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
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Jonathan de Guzman
14'
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Edson Alvarez
32'
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Steven Bergwijn
37'
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 9.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.04%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Sparta Rotterdam
9.02%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
15.07%
▲
(+0.16)
Ajax
75.91%
▼
(-0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
49.22%
▼
(-0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.22%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 2.5
35.78%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 3.5
42.15%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 3.5
57.85%
▲
(+0.57)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5
53.42%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
46.58%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
17.83%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
82.17%
▲
(+0.15)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
92.14%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
7.85%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
72.17%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 1.5
27.83%
▲
(+0.43)
Score analysis
Sparta Rotterdam
9.02%
Draw
15.07%
Ajax
75.9%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-0
@
2.8%
▲
(+0.06)
2-1 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 9.02%
2-1 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 9.02%
Draw
1-1
@
7.11%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 15.07%
0-0 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 15.07%
Ajax
0-2
@
11.83%
▲
(+0.10)
0-3 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.04)
0-6 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
1-6 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 75.9%
0-3 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.04)
0-6 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
1-6 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 75.9%
Nicolas Tagliafico
27'