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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Groningen | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Cambuur |
| 40.73% ( | 25.84% ( | 33.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% ( | 49.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( | 71.88% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( | 24.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( | 58.55% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( | 28.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( | 64.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Cambuur |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.42% |