Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.