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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 17 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 3 | -9 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | FC Utrecht | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 53.33% ( | 24.91% ( | 21.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% ( | 53.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( | 74.83% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( | 19.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.89% ( | 52.11% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.59% ( | 39.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.9% ( | 76.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% ( 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 53.32% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.4% Total : 21.77% |