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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
4 | SBV Excelsior | 1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Vitesse | 1 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Emmen | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Vitesse |
40.41% ( -0.01) | 25.13% ( 0.01) | 34.46% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.44% ( -0.06) | 46.56% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.17% ( -0.05) | 68.83% ( 0.06) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( -0.03) | 22.9% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.34% ( -0.04) | 56.66% ( 0.05) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0.03) | 26.13% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.81% ( -0.04) | 61.19% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.41% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 34.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
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