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Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Vitesse

SBV Excelsior
3 - 1
Vitesse

Kharchouch (14', 20'), Goudmijn (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Frederiksen (29')
Tronstad (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 2-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, August 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Vitesse

Vitesse will be keen to make up for a disappointing defeat last time out, but they will be going up against an Excelsior side who have proven themselves to be a tough nut to crack in front of their fans. We are tipping the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawVitesse
40.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.13% (0.012 0.01) 34.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)46.56% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)68.83% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)22.9% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)56.66% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)26.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)61.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 40.41%
    Vitesse 34.46%
    Draw 25.13%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawVitesse
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs Vitesse

SBV Excelsior
31.9%
Draw
27.8%
Vitesse
40.3%
72
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Oct 20, 2018 5.30pm
Feb 17, 2018 5.30pm
Vitesse
1-2
SBV Excelsior
Castaignos (2')
Oude Kotte (81'), Serero (84'), van der Werff (89')
Faik (44'), Van Duinen (67')
van Duinen (75')
Sep 9, 2017 7.45pm
SBV Excelsior
0-3
Vitesse

Messaoud (55'), de Wijs (90')
Castaignos (45'), Matavz (53' pen.), Linssen (74')
Dabo (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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