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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 53.32% ( | 25.8% ( | 20.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.54% ( | 57.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% ( | 78.26% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( | 21.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% ( | 54.75% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.27% ( | 42.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.94% ( | 79.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.32% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 3.92% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.87% |