Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 11.15am UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
5 - 2
SBV Excelsior

Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	FC Volendam	5	-12	4
15	RKC Waalwijk	4	-1	3
16	Vitesse	4	-9	1

SBV Excelsior

Last Six:

Last Game: FC Twente 4-0 SBV Excelsior
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Sparta Rotterdam	5	3	7
8	SBV Excelsior	4	-5	6
9	NEC	4	2	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	SBV Excelsior
44.16% ( 0.16)	23.72% ( -0.3)	32.12% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 61.21% (

1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

1.47)

40.67% (

-1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

1.49)

63.05% (

-1.49)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.28% (

0.66)

18.71% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.92% (

1.1)

50.07% (

-1.1)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

0.8)

24.7% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

1.1)

59.23% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 44.16%

SBV Excelsior 32.12%

Draw 23.72%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.16%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.12%