Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

SBV Excelsior
1 - 6
PSV

Horemans (74')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

Last Six:

Last Game: SBV Excelsior 3-1 Vitesse
Friday, August 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	6	6
5	SBV Excelsior	2	4	6
6	FC Twente	2	4	6

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:

Last Game: PSV 0-1 Rangers
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Heerenveen	4	5	8
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	6	6
5	SBV Excelsior	2	4	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
21.17% ( 0.68)	20.7% ( 0.48)	58.13% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 61.51% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.33% (

-1.36)

35.67% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.27% (

-1.52)

57.73% (

1.52)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

-0.18)

29.99% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

-0.21)

66.11% (

0.21)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.87% (

-0.74)

12.13% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.28% (

-1.59)

37.71% (

1.59)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 21.17%

PSV Eindhoven 58.13%

Draw 20.7%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.94% Total : 21.17%	1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.7%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 3% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.13%