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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Cambuur
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Cambuur Stadion
FC Twente logo

Cambuur
0 - 1
FC Twente


van der Water (29'), Schmidt (32'), Uldrikis (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)
van Wolfswinkel (90+6' pen.)
Misidjan (3'), Brenet (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Cambuur and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambuur 0-3 Vitesse
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Groningen
Sunday, October 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Cambuur 1-2 FC Twente

Twente have struggled on the road all-season long, but their dominant record against this weekend's opponents should give them cause for optimism. We fancy the away side to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
CambuurDrawFC Twente
30.92% (1.277 1.28) 23.19% (0.266 0.27) 45.88% (-1.546 -1.55)
Both teams to score 62.54% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33% (-0.577 -0.58)38.67% (0.574 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.02% (-0.613 -0.61)60.97% (0.61 0.61)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.502 0.5)24.45% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.706 0.71)58.88% (-0.708 -0.71)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-0.81 -0.81)17.22% (0.807 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (-1.437 -1.44)47.51% (1.434 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Cambuur 30.92%
    FC Twente 45.88%
    Draw 23.19%
CambuurDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.216 0.22)
1-0 @ 5.93% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.23 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.38% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.37% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 45.88%

How you voted: Cambuur vs FC Twente

Cambuur
0.0%
Draw
6.7%
FC Twente
93.3%
15
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 1.30pm
FC Twente
1-0
Cambuur
Propper (63')
Brenet (70')

ter Heide (16'), Mac-Intosch (25'), Schouten (57'), Paulissen (88'), Tol (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 5.45pm
Cambuur
2-0
FC Twente
Jacobs (66', 90+1')
Hoedemakers (36')

Smal (17'), van Wolfswinkel (42'), Ilic (50')
Ilic (55')
May 3, 2019 7pm
FC Twente
2-2
Cambuur
Boere (5'), Hamdaoui (37')
Schilder (88'), Robertha (93')
Dec 14, 2018 7pm
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
FC Twente
3-1
Cambuur
Assaidi (60' pen.), Maher (68', 76')
Schils (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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