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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | FC Twente |
30.92% ( 1.28) | 23.19% ( 0.27) | 45.88% ( -1.55) |
Both teams to score 62.54% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.33% ( -0.58) | 38.67% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.02% ( -0.61) | 60.97% ( 0.61) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% ( 0.5) | 24.45% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% ( 0.71) | 58.88% ( -0.71) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.77% ( -0.81) | 17.22% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.48% ( -1.44) | 47.51% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.92% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.09% Total : 45.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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