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Cambuur
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Cambuur Stadion
FC Twente logo

Cambuur
0 - 1
FC Twente

FT(HT: 0-0)
van Wolfswinkel (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Cambuur and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambuur 0-3 Vitesse
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Groningen
Sunday, October 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
CambuurDrawFC Twente
30.92% (1.277 1.28)23.19% (0.266 0.27)45.88% (-1.546 -1.55)
Both teams to score 62.54% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33% (-0.577 -0.58)38.67% (0.574 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.02% (-0.613 -0.61)60.97% (0.61 0.61)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.502 0.5)24.45% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.706 0.71)58.88% (-0.708 -0.71)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-0.81 -0.81)17.22% (0.807 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (-1.437 -1.44)47.51% (1.434 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Cambuur 30.92%
    FC Twente 45.88%
    Draw 23.19%
CambuurDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.216 0.22)
1-0 @ 5.93% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.23 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.38% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.37% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 45.88%

How you voted: Cambuur vs FC Twente

Cambuur
0.0%
Draw
6.7%
FC Twente
93.3%
15
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 1.30pm
FC Twente
1-0
Cambuur
Propper (63')
Brenet (70')

ter Heide (16'), Mac-Intosch (25'), Schouten (57'), Paulissen (88'), Tol (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 5.45pm
Cambuur
2-0
FC Twente
Jacobs (66', 90+1')
Hoedemakers (36')

Smal (17'), van Wolfswinkel (42'), Ilic (50')
Ilic (55')
May 3, 2019 7pm
FC Twente
2-2
Cambuur
Boere (5'), Hamdaoui (37')
Schilder (88'), Robertha (93')
Dec 14, 2018 7pm
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
FC Twente
3-1
Cambuur
Assaidi (60' pen.), Maher (68', 76')
Schils (33')